Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.347245 1.526824 1.723427 1.954966 2.220604 2.516311 2.871102
2025-12-07 1.085624 1.323753 1.605790 1.965766 2.414860 2.959054 3.672081
2025-12-14 0.891731 1.152915 1.482471 1.931574 2.531906 3.312646 4.414569
2025-12-21 0.744234 1.009899 1.363182 1.871787 2.592534 3.588202 5.086689
2025-12-28 0.677624 0.960093 1.353831 1.949524 2.839838 4.139958 6.216933
2026-01-04 0.618780 0.910625 1.334678 2.005172 3.056197 4.669825 7.391551
2026-01-11 0.567610 0.864192 1.311509 2.047587 3.252597 5.189600 8.625140
2026-01-18 0.520951 0.817905 1.281199 2.071857 3.418853 5.678004 9.876956
2026-01-25 0.469667 0.757812 1.221135 2.038098 3.480832 5.995546 10.873714
2026-02-01 0.415336 0.686526 1.134402 1.947436 3.430155 6.105661 11.500684
2026-02-08 0.375012 0.634312 1.073636 1.893740 3.436483 6.315397 12.344106
2026-02-15 0.342153 0.591490 1.024309 1.854076 3.462064 6.561292 13.293093
2026-02-22 0.328405 0.582188 1.035257 1.931140 3.728518 7.326656 15.487010
2026-03-01 0.308652 0.560098 1.020867 1.958727 3.902645 7.936072 17.467153
2026-03-08 0.284002 0.526388 0.981215 1.931745 3.961657 8.314809 19.000588
2026-03-15 0.258578 0.488663 0.929924 1.874855 3.949469 8.537345 20.208262
2026-03-22 0.250738 0.484307 0.943399 1.954016 4.243804 9.488460 23.388446
2026-03-29 0.241028 0.475184 0.946183 2.010365 4.494558 10.378027 26.596194
2026-04-05 0.230749 0.463835 0.943084 2.053142 4.719576 11.241286 29.916375
2026-04-12 0.219653 0.449678 0.932533 2.077588 4.903937 12.032832 33.207725
2026-04-19 0.204658 0.425818 0.898676 2.043771 4.939763 12.448860 35.502058
2026-04-26 0.186561 0.393635 0.843478 1.952853 4.818584 12.430926 36.489659
2026-05-03 0.172856 0.369983 0.805261 1.899003 4.786782 12.651980 38.272123